The 57% Illusion: Why Polymarket's IRGC Probability Is a Crypto Risk You Shouldn't Hedge
Hook: A single data point flashed across Polymarket this week: a 57%...
Blockchain
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CryptoRay
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2026-07-20
#POLY
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Event Calendar
202612
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
28
03
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Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
22
03
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Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
30
04
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Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
08
04
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Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Topic Tags
Tools
All →Altseason Index
40
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
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28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
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42 Gwei
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0.5 Gwei
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0.3 Gwei
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All →
1
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1
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1
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1
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1
Dogecoin
DOGE
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1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1914
1
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AVAX
$8.62
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.9452
1
Chainlink
LINK
$11.39
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