Polymarket's 24% Signal: The Clarity Act Odds Crash Is a Data Science Problem, Not a Prediction
The YES price on Polymarket for the Crypto Clarity Act hitting 0.24 USDC...
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2026-07-18
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Market Prices
BTC
Bitcoin
$75,549.1
-3.91%
ETH
Ethereum
$2,396.48
-5.71%
SOL
Solana
$96.82
-6.15%
BNB
BNB Chain
$712.4
-1.56%
XRP
XRP Ledger
$1.28
-11.15%
DOGE
Dogecoin
$0.0799
-5.08%
ADA
Cardano
$0.1948
-7.24%
AVAX
Avalanche
$7.25
-5.08%
DOT
Polkadot
$0.9451
-6.35%
LINK
Chainlink
$10.88
-6.22%
Fear & Greed
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Event Calendar
202615
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Topic Tags
Tools
All →Altseason Index
42
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$75,549.1
1
Ethereum
ETH
$2,396.48
1
Solana
SOL
$96.82
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$712.4
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.28
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0799
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1948
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$7.25
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.9451
1
Chainlink
LINK
$10.88
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0xfc0f...45d2
3h ago
In
3,707,981 USDC
🟢
0x68ef...beb3
3h ago
In
1,760.37 BTC
🔵
0x6098...3168
12m ago
Stake
3,832,493 USDT
💡 Smart Money
0x5106...46eb
Early Investor
-$4.8M
76%
0x8d01...36fb
Market Maker
+$2.4M
81%
0xdfc1...d70b
Top DeFi Miner
+$2.0M
78%